On Mar 9, 11:05=A0am, THG wrote:
> On Sun, 7 Mar 2010 18:12:05 -0800 (PST), Duwop
> wrote:
>
> >On Mar 6, 11:18 pm, Alfred Montestruc wrote:
>
> >> If the Germans totally defeat the USSR, and Japan in a timely manner
> >> jumps on the USSR's back as they are doing it, Japan can get a
> >> reasonably secure line of supply from Germany and the former USSR for
> >> fuel.
>
> >What excess fuel does this Greater Germany have for export? The
> >oilfields they hold are barley enough for western Europe. And even if
> >there is any available for export, what does Japan pay for it with?
>
> Even if you have infinte oil in German held lands it doesn't benefit
> Japan much without a reliable way of getting it into Japanese hands.
>
> This was the major reason I say taking the Caucasian oilfields in 1942
> would have benefitted Germany more by hurting Russia than helping
> Germany since it would take a minimum of 12-18 months to get an
> effective means of getting Russian oil to Germany once the fields were
> taken.
So what?
The USSR will still collapse if you cut them off from the oilfields in
that area and more important if the Germans can interdict supplies
being shipped in via Iran and the Caspian sea. If the Germans have
air supremacy over the northern Caspian sea, even without getting the
east coast of the Caspian, they can cut that supply line to a
trickle. If Japan declares war on the USSR and blockades Vladivostok,
you cannot win as the USSR with only the Murmansk route, even if they
had the oilfields in Baku. With the loss of those fields and the loss
of the Caspian supply line, they will probably collapse.. |
