But without the "we need the South Africans in case of a war against the
Soviets" argument, South Africa would quickly be facing severe NATO
(Euro-American) sanctions. Given that fanatic pro-apartheid white were
barely a majority of the white minority, it wouldn't have lasted. If they
were serious about fighting, they probably would have ended up have
apartheid ended by an Anglo-American peace keeping force, who would
rebuild the country (just like we rebuilt Iraq - which might explain why
the pro-apartheid group surrended when they did).
Steven (steven24germ@...) wrote:
: George Carty wrote:
: > With a POD no earlier than the 1980 election of Reagan, what could cause
: > the apartheid regime in South Africa to cling on to the bitter end after
: > the fall of the USSR?
: Hmmm... you would have to keep the hardliners in power because as from
: 1980 the hardliners are fast loosing their hold on political control of
: the NP and the whole the aparthied thing was on a downward slide and
: everyone except them is beginning to see the writing on the wall.
: Collaspe of the ANC's political wing into a thousand small arguing
: fractions with the side effect that the military wing being split into
: a hundred smaller and increasingly violent militant groups. These
: militant groups believe that large scale civilian deaths are the only
: answer to the crimes of apartheid ...lots of suicide bombers, car bombs
: and attacks on open civilian areas. This would give the apartheid
: hardliners the justification they needed to keep the thing going
: another 10 maybe 15 years.
: Too bad the PAC have been arounded up by now because they would have
: been perfect for the jazz described above ...although my mate who used
: to work for BOSS [he was involved in keeping track of the student
: movements ...now he sells furniture worlds a funny place sometimes]
: said that they were secertely started and funded by BOSS to attract the
: more militant members of the ANC and keep under watch ...but that
: sounds too much like spy jazz for me to believe it...
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